With the end of 2022, the discussion about the 2023 Ballon d'Or has not stopped. At present, a foreign media has announced the latest Ballon d'Or probability in 2023. Messi ranks first with a probability of 60%, ahead of other stars in a faulty manner. The second-placed Mbappe is only 20%, only 1/3 of Messi. It seems that the 2023 Ballon d'Or has a high probability of being Messi's, and there is a high probability that he will get the eighth Ballon d'Or this year.

The only ones who are really likely to compete with Messi for the Ballon d'Or this year are Mbappé and Harland. The probability of others is so low that it is almost negligible. However, it is also difficult for Mbappé and Haaland to get the Ballon d'Or, because the FIFA Would Cup is too important! Some people may say that the players who won the FIFA Would Cup before did not get the Ballon d'Or that year. But you have to know that it is Messi who got the FIFA Would Cup!

Messi has won too many honors in his career, only one FIFA Would Cup is missing, and this time his dream finally came true. FIFA has issued an article calling it the king of the ball. The black robe is added to the World Cup award ceremony, which is tantamount to coronation. And Messi's performance in the World Cup is perfect. Among them, 7 goals are second only to Mbappé who won the Adidas Golden Boot, and his 3 assists are tied for first place with Mbappé. In addition, Messi also sent a number of key passes.

From the 1/8 finals to the 1/4 finals, to the semi-finals and finals, Messi scored in every knockout match, which is unique in history. In the final he scored twice and won the World Cup Ballon d'Or for the second time. Messi created a record of 26 World Cup games, and played the most time in history. What's more, he was named the best player in 11 games. With so many records, it is unreasonable not to give Messi a Ballon d'Or.

Because he is on the same team as Messi, it is really difficult for Mbappé to get the Ballon d'Or. If Mbappé can lead Paris Saint-Germain F.C. to the first Champions League championship in team history, plus his own World Cup runner-up and Adidas Golden Boot honors, he will have a chance to get the Ballon d'Or. And it must be that Messi is not in good shape. If Messi is still in such a super state this year, winning the Champions League is tantamount to giving Messi extra points.

It is also difficult for Haaland, because Norway missed the World Cup. If they cannot participate in the World Cup in the year of the World Cup, points will definitely be deducted. Haaland currently leads the pack in the Premier League Player List. If he can continue to maintain this momentum and lead Manchester City F.C. to the Premier League championship and the first UEFA Champions League championship in team history, it is also possible to win the Ballon d'Or. Although his chances of winning the Premier League title are slim with his current form, it is still possible to win the UEFA Champions League title.

But generally speaking, Messi has the greatest probability of taking the Ballon d'Or, unless Messi's state has fallen off a cliff this year. But looking at Messi's superb performance in the World Cup, I feel that this probability is too low. Therefore, the 2023 Ballon d'Or will most likely belong to Messi.